The Homebuyer’s Corner

Should I Pay Points on My Mortgage in California?

Written by Armando Novelo, NMLS 237243, a mortgage loan officer in West Covina with over 20 years of experience helping Southern California buyers.

Desk notebook with pay points question mark arrow pointing to break even circled with arrow to refi later question mark and sticky notes reading stay or sell and 5 plus years

It depends on how long you plan to keep the loan. Paying points makes sense when the upfront cost is recovered through monthly savings before you sell, refinance, or move. When it is not, you are essentially prepaying interest you will never benefit from.

This is one of those conversations I have almost every week right now. With rates where they are, a lot of buyers are asking whether buying down the rate makes sense or whether they should save that money and wait to refinance. The answer is not the same for everyone. But the math is the same for everyone. Let me walk you through it.

What Paying Points Actually Means

One mortgage point equals one percent of the loan amount paid upfront at closing in exchange for a lower interest rate. On a $700,000 loan, one point costs $7,000. On a $900,000 loan, one point costs $9,000.

How much that point reduces your rate depends on the lender and the current market. In today's environment, one point typically buys a rate reduction of somewhere between 0.25 and 0.375 percent depending on the loan program and lender pricing on that day. That reduction is not fixed. It varies and it is always worth asking your lender for the exact trade-off on a specific day for your specific loan.

Points paid at closing are also typically tax deductible for buyers who itemize. Worth confirming with your CPA, but for buyers in California who are itemizing, that deduction can change the effective cost of the points. If you are also weighing whether a fixed or adjustable rate makes more sense for your situation, that decision is covered in detail here.

The Break-Even Formula

This is the only calculation that actually matters when deciding whether to pay points.

Take the cost of the points and divide it by the monthly savings the lower rate produces. The result is how many months it takes to recover the upfront cost.

Here is a realistic example for the SGV market right now.

You are buying with a $750,000 loan. Your lender offers you a rate of 6.75 percent at no cost, or 6.375 percent if you pay one point, which is $7,500. At 6.75 percent your principal and interest payment is approximately $4,865. At 6.375 percent it drops to approximately $4,681. That is a monthly savings of $184.

Divide $7,500 by $184 and your break-even is 41 months, just under three and a half years.

If you plan to keep this loan longer than 41 months without refinancing or selling, paying the point makes financial sense. Every month after that break-even point, you are $184 ahead.

If you expect to refinance before month 41, you are paying $7,500 for savings you will never fully collect.

The Rate Environment Question Everyone Is Asking Right Now

Here is where the conversation gets more nuanced in today's market specifically.

A lot of buyers purchasing right now are expecting rates to come down over the next one to two years. If that happens and they refinance, the point they paid today gets left behind. The $7,500 is gone and their new loan starts fresh at the lower rate without any credit for what they paid upfront.

That is the argument against paying points right now for buyers who genuinely believe a refinance is likely within the next two to three years. We covered exactly how to calculate whether a refinance makes sense in this article.

The counterargument is that rate predictions are not guarantees. Rates may come down. They may stay flat. They may go higher before they go lower. A buyer who paid a point and locked in a lower payment has certainty. A buyer who skipped the point and is waiting for a refinance that has not come yet is still paying the higher rate every month.

Both positions are reasonable. The right answer depends on your specific timeline, your confidence in the rate outlook, and how much the monthly savings matter to your budget right now.

What I do not recommend is paying points on a loan you are certain you will refinance within 12 to 18 months. That almost never pencils out. And skipping points entirely on a loan you plan to hold for ten years in a market where rates are unlikely to drop significantly is also leaving real money on the table.

When Points Make Sense and When They Do Not

Points tend to make sense when you have a clear long-term plan for the home, your break-even is under three years, the monthly savings meaningfully improve your budget, and you have enough cash after closing to comfortably pay for them without straining your reserves.

Points generally do not make sense when your break-even stretches beyond four or five years, when you are already stretching to cover closing costs and down payment, when a refinance within the next two years is a real and likely possibility, or when the rate reduction being offered is small enough that the savings are negligible. If you are still getting your arms around what closing costs run in California, this article breaks it all down.

One more thing worth knowing. You are not limited to buying exactly one point. Some lenders allow fractional points, half a point, a quarter point, and you can find the exact cost-to-savings ratio that fits your situation. Always ask to see the pricing grid with multiple point options so you can compare the trade-offs side by side.

The Four Questions That Make This Decision Simple

Every time I sit down with a buyer on this topic it comes down to the same four questions.

Are you staying or selling?

Are you planning to refinance?

What is your break-even?

Is it under five years?

Answer those honestly for your specific situation and the decision makes itself. The mistake is skipping the math and going with a gut feeling about what sounds better.

Lower rate sounds better until you realize you are paying $9,000 upfront to save $140 a month on a loan you are going to refinance in 18 months.

Run the numbers. Every time.

Armando Novelo, NMLS 237243, is a mortgage loan officer at Super Mortgage Bros, powered by Golden Empire Mortgage. He has been helping Southern California buyers and homeowners since 2002. His office is located in West Covina, CA.

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Article Published: May 19, 2026

Contact

Armando Novelo

NMLS 237243

Super Mortgage Bros

1900 W. Garvey Ave S. #100

West Covina, CA 91790

Phone: (626) 200-1838

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